Showing posts with label #COVID19 #POSTCOVID19. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #COVID19 #POSTCOVID19. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Generosity Works - Minimum Income - Fairer & cheaper to deliver

 

One can judge the quality of a society by the way it treats its poor, the government has a role in extending care to those who are unfortunate – “what you do to the least of my brethren you do to me” someone once said – I love the quote because it personalizes the issue. The challenge, of course, is striking a balance between extending help to the unfortunate and taxing those who can help, out of existence. Please, before you dismiss minimum income out of hand, consider the following.  

 My stepfather Charlie McDowell, lived through an economic rationalization, aptly dubbed the “Dirty Thirties”, the hardship he and his family faced was unbearable, at least to hear of, and more so, to think that it could happen again to my grandsons. Another man I knew was Rod McIndoe, he too lived through the thirties, a bigger than life kind of a man – logger and contractor; I ran some regurgitated anti-unemployment rhetoric by him one day thinking he might approve, he looked at me and laughed as though to say “if you only knew” – then he said, “it is the only thing keeping us from another depression”; this took place in the 1970s. These two men were the epitome of self-made and self-reliant and they both taught me the value of compassion and they had no inhibition in suggesting there was a role to play for government in helping the less fortunate. They knew hardship, the kind of hardship that let you go to bed cold with a growling stomach. They knew a hardship, I’d wager, that has never been experienced by a single person governing this country at the moment, me included.    

Whether you're poor because you're unemployed, underemployed, retired absent income or disabled – you're poor, you require resources. Presently we have several government departments dispensing funds to the people in need of help, CPP, Employment Insurance, Social Services … the list goes on. Every department has its own administration, set of criteria for helping, and complex operations – all of which represent OVERHEAD that adds to the costs of delivering services. Worse, much of the thrust of the administration of the programs is to ensure that people are only getting what they are entitled to – in large measure these departments assess people against set criteria and dispense funds accordingly. This is, at its core, a policing function, the challenge that arises from this process is an administrative cost, dollars spent running a department instead of helping people. If we are going to spend money helping the people who have a circumstance the effects poverty, we need to ensure that the money we allocate for help – helps.

The simplest way to ensure a base living is to provide everyone with a base income. The government would simply distribute cheques to everyone, every two weeks, those who had income exceeding the base amount would have the “base income” “clawed back” (taken back) at tax time.  This is a very elegant solution, we can be more generous, the stigma associated with social service use is gone and a base living is established.

This also is a de facto floor on living generally; minimum wage, for example, would be rendered redundant, given that the marginal advantage of employment would force wages to a living wage. The other advantage here with respect to minimum wage, is that absent the need for a minimum wage for adults, the market could accommodate youth – as it is often the complaint with minimum wages that the youth are affected due to the axis of experience and employment cost working against them. The disincentive to take an entry-level position would be nullified by structuring the program in a manner that accounts for the marginal benefit of working – that is to say – there would be a graduated exit from minimum income to full employment that would incent participation in the low paid employment strata.

Self Reliance is an under touted value now days, the ability to care for one’s own by one’s own initiative and skills. Self Reliance is a product of knowledge and resources, it needs a launch pad. Some are lucky enough to acquire the elements of Self Reliance from their parent's teaching and the good fortune that applying their skill provides income. Others require that we invest in them, to develop human capital.

Modern society is like none other in human history, in the main, it is much better than ever before, however, it has become faster, more intense to participate in and much more sophisticated. As a result, a larger portion of the population is unable to participate due to an inability to attend to modern technologies and manage the stress associated with a more rapid-paced society. Automation, mechanization, offshore manufacturing, and other macro trends coupled with governments’ inability to educate people, so people can move up the participatory food chain, has also pushed more people to the margins.

In business we often refer to a business as having “critical mass”, having critical mass being a circumstance whereby, the business has optimum capital and human resources to effectively participate in a given market circumstance.  Being impoverished is a circumstance of being massless, no resources, and the longer one is impoverished the worse it gets – it is hard to go to a job interview, or knock on any door when you’re missing a front tooth. When an established person’s car breaks down, they call someone and put the repairs on their credit card, an impoverished person misses work or looses work due to the loss of transportation. For the impoverished person, problems are bigger and opportunities are harder to get to.

A minimum income fulfils state obligations to Liberty in Section 7 of the Charter, Life, Liberty and Security of Person. The most coercive element that exists in society is a growling stomach; it is the absence of any secure income that drives people into exploitive circumstances. We can afford to do this, in fact, it is likely to cost less, the minimum income is the most efficient way to deliver resources due to a reduction in administrative costs. It requires the co-operation of the provinces, as it promises to significantly reduce the cost of delivering services they are likely to want to participate.

Minimum Income has inherent in it a transition, a transition that will eliminate the requirement for the personnel at the Employment Insurance Department, the CPP Department and several others. They will see Minimum Income as a threat, they have a job and they want to keep it – a perfectly understandable position to take – however, position that can foment resistance to change.  They need to be guaranteed that their interests will be addressed, some will retire, many, with a basket of good skills, can be redirected to other work the government needs to be done – none should find themselves in a reduced circumstance. 






Friday, March 4, 2022

Letter to Parliament - Overarching Narrative Required



The events of the past few years, primarily the Covid 19 response, but also, the disaster response in British Columbia and the events related to Ukraine have brought serious societal fissures and governance deficiencies into resolution. The propensity for every challenge that faces us being distorted by political discourse and then the extreme division it is causing has become alarming. There are many causal factors coming to play, the one that is most damaging is the fragmentation of our nation’s narrative, the cleaving of social perspective between “progressives” and “anti-capitalism” movements versus the “establishment”. This internal competition for hearts and minds is played upon by external players whose interests are served by exacerbating social division.

Canada is an exemplary country, we educate our people, we have a compassionate social perspective, and we enjoy a standard of living that puts us at the pinnacle of human existence – ever. The social strife that has been emerging is threatening both the egg and the goose, there are movements afoot that are keen to throw away the various systems and institutions that provided us with all we have.  I observe governments, businesses, professionals, and members of the public conducting themselves in contempt of the foundational elements of our society, treating fundamentals like the rule of law, hard-won civil liberties as hurdles to get over rather than attending to both the spirit and the letter of the law. When foundational elements of our society, the very principles our country is founded on, are seen to be manipulated or ineffective a crack opens for further division fueled by “revolutionary” and competing narratives.

What is missing is an overarching narrative, one that is held by us all. I have posted Section 7 of the Charter of Rights and Freedoms on various social media platforms and encountered people afraid to give it an open and hardy affirmation, yet they will in confidence – I hope this concerns you all. In my youth attending our public education system, there were many many instances when teachers would contrast our free society with that of the Soviet Union. George Orwell’s book Animal Farm was read aloud to me by my teacher in grade 6 and we talked about the evils of unchecked and centralized state power.  I would encounter a clear and common narrative that our way of life, our governance modalities and institutions supported by our market system was the best system there is. There are two things Canadians need to know, that they are presently the most prosperous people in human history and how that happened – unless priority is given to ensuring that Canadians do know, our society will unravel and all we’ve built here will implode under the weight of a people with maps of reality distorted by political spin and the voices of dissidents foreign and domestic.

OTHER THINKING ON THE SUBJECT

The first step in the process then is agreeing on a narrative that serves to stabilize and support our country and our values and secondly, propagandizing that narrative. One symbolic gestor to start the process would be to have every member of parliament stand at attention in front of the parliament buildings while the first 15 Sections of the Charter of Rights and Freedoms scrolled by on big screens with Old Canada playing and the entire undertaking being streamed to every media channel in the country. The process would close with the Governor-General giving a short speech extending to Canadians permission to preserve and protect the values expressed in the Charter of Rights and Freedoms with vigour and pride. Our people and the enemies of freedom need to see we stand together and for something.  

Having agreed on the theme of the overarching narrative, the government could actively promote the narrative through various initiatives – more intensive Canadian Studies in schools and actively market the narrative via various media forums. Further, the subversion of western values is hardly contained in our borders – it is far-reaching. We need a collective effort on the part of the CBC in concert with like-minded entities like the BBC, ABC and others to tell the story of our prosperity – a truth demonstrated by merely listing the most prosperous peoples in the world – the G20 to start – who have gained their prosperity by the combination of civil rights, a market economy and robust social supports.

Unless we fill the void, the absent narrative, others will fill it with their own interests in mind; the assent of authoritarianism will continue unabated. Shakespeare taught us that “the pen is mightier than the sword”, however, unless the pen is used pervasively and persuasively apathy will leave no other option than the sword. The world is standing on a precipice, rarely has our way of life been more challenged – the “dark clouds of authoritarianism” are looming – action is required now.

 


 [NT1]

Monday, July 27, 2020

Post Covid 19 Policy - A successful restart means smart investment and avoiding spending

We have been faced with a horrific event; we are reeling to a degree. I believe that most people in government are seeking to help. The road to hell is often paved with good intentions; however, that is why I am compelled at this time to offer suggestions to the government on a way forward.


Whenever one begins any endeavour, as Mr Covey taught us, it is wise, to begin with the end in mind. Then one needs to strip clean all the entrenched interests and the politics and design a solution. Once the solution is developed then one needs to look at the landscape as it is and fit the solution in place. The process of fitting the solution in place then involves addressing the interests of affected parties; a process that is most often under-addressed – think NAFTA, we heard a lot from the 11,000 people put out of work and nothing from the 100s of thousands put to work.  To effect change in the face of entrenched interests, it is critical that you commit to seeing to those whose interests are negatively impacted – this should be done as a humanitarian imperative – but if that is too ultraistic a cause, know this – people with entrenched interests are going to fight you every step of the way absent a mitigating offering.

I have spent a good deal of my life now, thinking about how to make Canada better, more than better, the best. How to address the issues of the “left”, like inequality, like poverty, like discrimination of all sorts – the progressive agenda as it is commonly perceived. I have thought about fixing these problems from the perspective of someone who believes that we need evolution as opposed to revolution, I believe that we are living in the solution, we need only tweak what we have in Canada. Please let me remind the reader that we live here and now at the pinnacle of human existence – no collection of people have ever had it better.

The first step toward finding solutions is to look back, see what has helped and what has harmed – take an objective look at history. Through the seventies in Canada we ran up massive debt, we stimulated the economy and there were inherent realities that drove our economy to capacity – I think it would be fair to say the inflation we experienced in the seventies was about half fiat currency and about half capacity. What we know for sure is, if you increase the money supply, you get inflation, John Law showed us how that worked in France. Moreover, building up large debt is the heroin of public policy, feels good until paying it back takes food from the mouths of children. The government should INVEST, the government should never spend.

Inequality is bad, as it builds a group of people who are the have nots, justifiably frustrated at the absence of opportunity. It is the inherent reality of capital that it attracts capital. A market economy is a well-oiled machine and excels at the distribution of goods and services – we have to avoid letting the behaviour of capital rob us of the source of our prosperity – the market economy.  The inequality in our society is in sharp relief, the people negatively impacted by it look to solutions that seem to fix inequality but in time impoverish us all.  If I have $10 million, Bill Gates having $60 billion is no bother, however, if I am Sally, a single Mom, working two jobs, watering down the milk for my kid's cereal in the morning – the $10 million guys are as bad as Bill – Sally is resentful, to her “they” are a bunch of greedy capitalists. She has a right to be resentful, she is playing by the rules, she needs opportunity and a path to success. If you give her a path to success, you have a friend to the free market and prosperous policy, if you turn your back on her, or worse, find new and creative ways to exploit her, you have someone who will throw in with people who peddle equality as the solution rather than inequality be the challenge – from there comes the quagmire of crippling policy “solutions” known as "redistributive policy".


To the redistributionist I say this, it is bad policy for a whole bunch of reasons, and here is one, a big one. In case you’ve never noticed, people hate it when someone takes something they view as theirs and they love to be prosperous and secure – so rather than threaten to take from the successful what they have earned and accumulated for themselves and their families – tie the interests of those negatively impacted by inequality to the interests of the people who have resources – think win-win.

When designing policy, wherever possible, the most important thing you can do is to FUND PEOPLE, never institutions. When you fund people, you empower them and institutions respond to them. When you fund institutions the institutions become insular, the holders of power and oftentimes turn their back on the interests of the people they are there to serve. This truth is rarely uttered in halls of power because it threatens so many entrenched interests. We need institutional reform in Canada, funding institutions feeds institutional inertia and the hardening of problems, rather than feeding the solutions.

If the market is functioning as it should and people have access to the resources to enter the market, most of the progressive agenda is taken care of.  When a market works correctly, there is a demand for a good or a service and there is someone who seeks to provide the solution. If price drives the purchasing decision – then whether the service provider is female, black, white, smart, challenged, mentally ill, young or old – if they can provide the product or service then they get the benefit. The thing that corrupts this process are regulations that prevent fair access to markets. The only thing that inhibits participation in markets is the absence of resources at critical mass to access the market.

We have at this time in Canada one of the largest pools of wealth in the form of boomer wealth accumulation and the wealth they have inherited from their parents. They are presently investing that money via traditional investment modalities, some doing okay, some not – this pool of capital is in effect latent from the perspective of getting capital to young people starting out in life, or people with innovation, people starting a new business – the kind of people who need resources and find little or no support from traditional lenders and capitalization modalities.

CLICK HERE - ECONOMIC STAGNATION - BOOMER WEALTH


Creative Use of Bonds and Creative Bond Distribution Systems

One can view these solutions as the creative use of bonds that would be analogous to Municipal Bonds; a different but similar structure augmented by varying degrees of return subsidies and tax incentives.

Capital goes to the lowest risk and the highest return – the only way to attract capital is to address one or both of these realities. The people who need capital to enter the market normally represent a higher risk for a number of reasons. The government has engaged in effectively quantitative easing already, the government has effectively “guaranteed” loans already. The challenge for this group of people is that the government has used all the traditional channels – banks, credit unions etc. An entrepreneur is normally impaired rather than helped by these lenders.

Programs like these accelerate the provision of capital to entrepreneurs and/or individuals needing capital to enter the marketplace for any reason. Perhaps most exciting is the government’s partial guarantee and return subsidy, unleashing the now latent “boomer” capital now receiving mediocre returns due to risk considerations.

There is no sector of the economy harder hit than the small business/artisan sector. Aggressive stimulus in the manner suggested here, gives this extremely productive segment of the economy a boost and expands it and if designed properly access to capital will be more or less free of red tape.    

Policy Suggestion 1 – Entrepreneur Bond

The government should develop a bond program for this sector of the economy.  The bonds would be structured with a partial guarantee, a capital gains credit in case of loss and a return subsidy to a certain threshold. The return subsidy could be varied in response to prioritized activities; the return subsidy would be perhaps higher for innovation, or perhaps a regional premium to encourage activity in economically suppressed regions. These provisions for targeted quantitative easing and gets capital to those who are typically rebuffed by traditional lending modalities.

Bond distribution would take the form of an individual posting their intended course of action on a website with their desired market capital requirements. Investors would access the data, interface with the individuals and choose to participate or not. Market Cap would be held to perhaps $10 million.

The Venture Capital Program in British Columbia illustrates how the elevated capital tax credit against capital loss would work.     

Policy Suggestion 2 – Forestry Bond

In the same vein, the government in conjunction with other actors would initiate a forestry bond market. There is a collection of Silviculture practices that when undertaken generate an approximate 7% annual return – they consist of thinning, limbing and other practices. The benefit of doing these practices is the forest is healthier, more productive, and less fire-prone forest and it shortens the harvesting cycle which offers more revenue opportunities – increasing the long-run sustainable yield. The inhibiting factors are funds and the projected return is light. Here a small return subsidy would go a long way to incentivizing various jurisdictions to do the Silviculture that now goes wanting.

The bondholder would purchase a forestry bond issued by the bond seller. The bond seller would be the entity that designed and implemented the Silviculture prescription for a given plot of Forest. The forest performance would be benched marked against historical data – the incremental forest volume benefit would be calculated at harvest. At this point, the government would have the opportunity to “clawback” the subsidy or a portion thereof and the entity that has invested in the Silviculture program and having used funds to bond funds to perform the work, will perhaps generate a premium at harvest – keeping the provisioning entity in hand in this way incents long term stewardship of the resource, an element that is wanting in British Columbia and in other jurisdictions as well. Given the nature of the forest cycle, bonds would likely trade through the course of 50 years as would the relative value structure of the entity doing the Silviculture.
   
This has an obvious climate premium and social premium as well. The climate premium comes from faster carbon sequestration, the social premium is generated by first driving rural economic activity and this type of work offers employment to a stratum of the workforce whose opportunities are shrinking.   

Policy Suggestion 3 – Building Carbon Reduction Bond

It is the case many of the things we want to do in the realm of conservation are challenged by economic realities – the marginal benefit of performing the action fails to return sufficiently to cover the cost of doing the action and offset the opportunity cost of capital involved.

In the same vein as above, a bond system could be put in place, with bond returns tailored to effect incentive for carbon us reduction. 


A person wants to super insolate their home, they access funds through the bond program and returns are augmented by the government so capital is rewarded to the degree needed to incent the work. These types of programs are very simulative and if offered in this way they open the door to several approaches to participants – the work can be done in house or offered at contract.  


More thinking on the Subject