Showing posts with label transaction costs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label transaction costs. Show all posts

Monday, March 28, 2016

2016 BUDGET FISCAL FAILURE

Winston Churchill said “attempting to spend your way out of debt is like standing in a bucket and attempting to pick yourself up”; the Liberal government is in effect attempting to do this very thing.

"With the exception of the Child Subsidy, this budget was FISCAL FAILURE".  



Counter Cyclical spending, the process of government spending to stimulate the economy in the face of a down business cycle needs to have a very sharp pencil. We need to be sure that the money spent generates a sufficient increase in tax revenue to recoup money spent AND cover the cost of money.  Perhaps the most important point in counter cyclical spending is that it has very little stimulative effect, the Canadian economy is approximately $2 trillion, the Federal Government Budget is about 10% of that give or take. So think about how much 1% ($20 Billion) of the total economy is going to do to simulate the economy just in nominal amounts – nothing. Policy that uses the mass of the economy to drive growth, is policy that works – government spending can be directed at facilitating the economy, it will never grow the economy on its own.

The budget the Liberals just brought down, is the kind of budget that brought us down in the 70s and 80s. Less than 20% of the total budget is going to “investment” in capital projects and many of those are nothing new, nothing that is going to do what capital spending is meant to do, help us satisfy Canada's overall mission – they never got to the $10 Billion they promised in “new infrastructure”. This burgeoning deficit is partly the product of reduced resource revenues, but it is also indicative of a bad attitude toward fiscal management – this is like déjà vu la 1970s, the only difference is then we had an expanding tax base to save us, now we are facing some tough demographic realities that will reduce government revenues and increase the cost of government.  We need to invest in our First Nations, the Liberal government has committed to that, yet they have failed to insist the money invested in First Nations is subjected to generally accept accounting principles, by avoiding mandatory reporting as precondition to funding.  

Capital spending when done in business means purchasing assets or developing assets that generate benefit to the company mission; government can do this as well.  Had this government trimmed government operational spending and upped capital spending, I would be praising them right now. The fact is they have done the opposite and in so doing are robbing the next generation to fund nothing of significance now. 

They – this government – will point to all manner of numbers to say what they are doing is okay, they will pull comparative data from Europe, showing Canada’s debt is better than most western economies – none of this has relevance. What is relevant is, are we doing the very best we can with what our country has to offer – we are falling short. With Canada’s wealth, we should be sporting a sovereign wealth fund big enough to choke a horse, instead we are broke. Had we managed our resource wealth properly, we would be funding counter cyclical spending from capital reserves, instead we are spending our children's future.  We need to get serious about fiscal management, this government’s first attempt falls short, very short – they seem to indicate by their actions that they believe there is no bottom line.

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Saturday, March 7, 2015

No Minimum Wage - We Need Minimum Income



One can judge the quality of a society by the way it treats its poor, the government has a role in extending care to those who are unfortunate – “what you do to the least of my brethren you do to me” someone once said – I love the quote because it personalizes the issue. The challenge, of course, is striking a balance between extending help to the unfortunate and spending.

Whether you're poor because you're unemployed, underemployed, retired absent income or disabled – you're poor, you require resources. Presently we have several government departments dispensing funds to the people in need of help, CPP, Employment Insurance, Social Services … the list goes on. Every department has its own administration, set of criteria for helping and complex operations – all of which represent OVERHEAD or add to the transaction cost that is government.

Much of the thrust of the administration of the programs is to ensure that people are only getting what they are entitled to – in large measure these departments assess people against a set of criteria and dispense funds accordingly. This is, at its core, a policing function, the challenge that arises from this process is an administrative cost, dollars spent running a department instead of helping people. If we are going to spend money helping the poor, we need to ensure that the money we allocate for help – helps.

The simplest way to ensure a base living is to provide everyone with a base income. The government would simply distribute cheques to everyone, every two weeks, those who had income exceeding the base amount would have the “base income” “clawed back” (taken back) at tax time.  This is a very elegant solution, we can be more generous, the stigma associated with social service use is gone and a base living is established.

This also is a de facto floor on living generally; minimum wage, for example, would be rendered redundant, given that the marginal advantage of employment would force wages to a living wage. The other advantage here with respect to minimum wage, is that absent the need for a minimum wage for adults, the market could accommodate youth – as it is often the complaint with minimum wages that the youth are affected due to the axis of experience and cost working against them. By way of example, if a $1000 / month minimum income was provided, the marginal benefit of employment would exceed the minimum wage in British Columbia now – at $8.50 / hour the monthly income is $1360 – there would be no advantage of working given the cost of attending work – clothes, transportation etc. This illustrates the “floor” that is formed on human existence with a “minimum income”. 

A minimum income fulfils state obligations to Liberty in Section 7 of the Charter, Life, Liberty and Security of Person. The most coercive element that exists in society is a growling stomach; it is the absence of any secure income that drives people into exploitive circumstance. We can afford to do this, in fact, studies done by the CATO institute in the United States indicate that overall, the minimum income is the most efficient way to deliver resources due to a reduction in administrative costs.

The amount and the “Clawback” regime would need to account for marginal tax considerations, marginal employment benefit and the like. I like this solution – it is simple, efficient and generous – it seems a quintessentially Canadian way to go.









Thursday, February 26, 2015

Economics - Market Transcendence


The combination of our educational system's complete abrogation of teaching economics and the devaluation of enterprise in Canadian society at large has fostered a societal ignorance of the economy. It is as though the separation of us from human endeavours associated with an enterprise is possible. The very essence of humanity is the exchange of goods and services, economics is the medium of expression; a means by which we can observe the vast complexity of human exchange. The attempt by many in the world of academics to marginalize the market-based economy has put us in peril of leaving unexplored the most relevant of human studies. The financial representation of human reality and its influences on our behaviour is the most useful of lenses to view the world. Markets, when properly facilitated provide wealth and prosperity, the wealth and prosperity that facilitates all the rest of the social complex. The unprecedented wealth we enjoy in western society today can be squarely attributed to the unique dynamic that a market-based economy in concert with democracy produces.
  
The generalized state of unawareness regarding matters relating to the economy allows the propagation of policy that ignores the value of the market or worse seeks to curtail the market as the primary means by which we supply people with goods and services. The amount of distortion that takes place around economic policy in the political process is contorting the public’s view of economic policy in a manner that is detrimental to the country as a whole. So much of the political process’ address of economic issues is consumed by class warfare; a particularly pernicious political element, that being people promoting redistributionist policy. Redistributionists would do better to focus on a state of generalized prosperity rather than a state of generalized equality.  Rather than taking from productive people, provide equitable access to a growing pie. The proposition of paramount importance is, that in order to promote the well-being of people we need a vibrant economy, and a vibrant economy starts with businesses being able to respond to opportunity absent distorting policy.

The most common distortion is the linking of capitalism to negative outcomes related to displacement, dislocation and exploitation. Capitalism is a means of exchange ONLY, capitalism if un-distorted by an authority will distribute wealth broadly. Marx linked the painful events for the working people around the industrial revolution to capitalism, wrongly. The causes of dislocation and poverty as the industrial revolution unfolded, were a product of disequilibrium of labour supply in the context of new technology. This disequilibrium in concert with the government failing to respond to a changing circumstance, or perhaps in some cases exacerbating dislocation with policies that exploited the vulnerable, was the cause of the pain experienced by the working classes. 

Capital is a mere abstract representation of human action, if something bad happened or happens, it is the product of human thought as opposed to the capitalist process. Capital allows for the aggregation of energy (Capital) which is fungible, this aggregation of capital does afford power to the holder and raises the possibility of the power being misapplied. The misapplication of power happened throughout history absent capitalist processes, and in regimes that sought to function by eliminating the pooling and use of capital through central planning, evil happened; evil happened on a grander scale in these regimes because power was concentrated with one government, instead of a million capitalists. While capitalism can greatly enhance human progress by providing a fungible energy resource to apply to any human endeavour, it is value-neutral – it cares little whether it is directed to good or evil – remember if you don’t like what you see it is us your looking at. In the presence or absence of capital processes, evil can occur or the beauty that resides in humanity can shine. What this document is advocating is enlightened capitalism, where there is a culture and regulatory commitment to universal prosperity by giving access to an ever-growing human dynamic.      

Social issues around meeting humanitarian obligations are best met by providing a floor on human existence and then providing access to the education necessary for people existing at that floor to progress. The presence of universal healthcare is mute when universal prosperity is present. Social services are only relevant when the economy is so poorly managed that people are unable to pay for the services they need. I offer these statements only to demonstrate how abundance transforms lives, realizing there is a requirement at present for social services. The desire to promote a competitive and productive economy stems from the view that prosperity fosters more prosperity. The key recognition necessary for people holding redistributionist inclinations is that the economy is unlimited. The economy can grow large enough to provide abundance to all people all the time. The abstract element of this realization is that the economy is detached from the physical world as services represent a larger and larger portion of the overall economy. When services generate prosperity the wealth generated may be directed at physical requirements and so draw on raw resources, but a likely outcome is that wealth will be directed at services. Read these words, there is no limit to the size of the economy and the abundance it can provide. As the economy grows, equitable access brings people off the floor to various socioeconomic circumstances depending on their abilities, chosen life cadence and circumstance. All it really takes for this realization to take hold is to concede that abundance is at least as common as scarcity and that both scarcity and abundance are mental constructs.  

Human endeavour emerges out of the entire panoply of resources, circumstances and environmental variants. Human actions in the context of what earth offers reaches unfathomable complexity, just trying to contemplate the most basic of human endeavours soon becomes intensely complicated. The Dali Lama teaches a concept called Dependent Origination, of which one element relates to time, as the origination of the present is dependent on the past and the future, the present can only exist in the context of the past and the future. The second element relates to the physicality and thought of the origination of an item. The example of a clay pot is used, when one begins to contemplate a clay pots creation, one begins with the creators' thoughts of the design, the gathering of the clay, the composition of the clay, the temperature of the kiln, the make-up of the glaze, the construction of the kiln; as one embarks on this process with one of the humanities most basic and early furnishings, the level of complexity is staggering. Some elements occur in a state of tacit awareness, knowing what thought process the pot maker went through in the creation of design is almost unknowable absent perhaps years of exposure to her actions. Now imagine the process with a computer, and staggering complexity takes on a staggering complexity. Our marketplace does all this absent any central knowledge bank; the complexity of human action is managed and valued by each other’s perception of the value of one good relative to the other. There is absolutely no facility available to humanity to manage the mass of human action; it simply must emerge out of the natural inclination for people to engage each other in the context of their respective needs and desires – people left to their own interests and good intent will make a million flowers bloom.    

Knowledge is best applied at the point of action. Imagine a circumstance where the government with all its resources decided that by synchronizing people's food consumption with a view to bringing better knowledge to the process by accessing professionals and by standardizing everyone’s meals the government could buy food in bulk and get it cheaper. You might turn on your radio every morning and the government representative would provide the meal plan for the day, the ingredients for which you draw from a box of foodstuffs provided by the government. Begin the process of dependant originations on this process; it is impossible to know where to start. How would you manage leftovers, because it would be impossible for any government to predict the appetite of a given individual at any point in time? Extra food would have to be provided to ensure enough for big people even though most people are average, wasteful to say the least. As one begins to contemplate the government managing our meals for us, you realize what an absurd notion this is. Yet, in spite of thousands of instances where central planning has failed, there are people still advocating it as a solution. Clearly, everyone can see that their lay knowledge applied at the point of action will generate a more appropriate result than professional knowledge at a distance. The closer the management of resources is to the point those resources are actuated, the more appropriate the use of those resources.  

Money measures and facilitates complex human action. The attachment of value to a given item in the context of other items or services value can only take place efficiently with an abstract representation and money is what we use. The more valuable an item the more of that item gets supplied. All the complexity associated with the delivery of a good or service is managed by itself as the spontaneous response to demand occurs. This process is so finely nuanced the details of value and production and delivery are almost imperceivable. Our society has been well rewarded for allowing humanity to manage its own affairs and it's done nary a single central planner, it all happens out of the spontaneous association of actors. Please though, mine is only one word, take a look around, in every circumstance where there has been central planning, the government has reduced the population to impoverishment and subjected them to totalitarianism.

This position, of allowing humanity's spontaneous actions to determine the action of the collective still allows for collective action. The critical point in accessing the value of spontaneous human action as a thought process is to consider policy creation in the context of the individual as opposed to the aggregate. Inherent in all human action is the choice of one person to do something, so this is the logical spot to start designing policy for the collective, in contrast to planning for the aggregate. In this way, knowledge is best applied and resources are most effectively distributed and utilized. The policy is “planned” in response to human action as opposed to a policy that plans human action. As stated previously, the sum of human action is impossibly complex to plan from a central point, to direct the actions of every individual is a Herculean task even if it were possible, however, a policy can respond to trends that become apparent from the observation of human action. If provisions are made for the individual to accumulate wealth then society will be wealthy and for those who are unable to care for themselves, special programs can be developed. Policy needs to be directed toward excellence and the outliers mitigated for, central planning for the aggregate tends to take policy to manage for the lowest common denominator. 

The single most critical thing for a successful society is the provision for people to be able to capitalize on their efforts. Karl Marx spoke of this in great detail, where labour exercised action with the incremental valued-added of that labour was extracted away from the labour to the extent they remained in subsistence. In an enlightened capitalist society, we understand, that if we want people to be capitalists they need to have capital. To the extent generosity (capital) is bestowed at large is the extent to which prosperity will be accelerated. By provisioning the masses with capital a virtuous upward cycle moves us from a world view of scarcity to a world view of abundance. The industrial revolution occurred absent the ability to manage the displacement that took place leaving people in an exploitable circumstance, Marx and Engels observed an injustice and we got communism. The unscrupulous leveraging of capital, over the offer of an honest day's work, created communism; a scourge that has demonstrated its ineptitude at every attempt at execution and yet people are still promoting it in varying degrees. I wonder when people will realize the source of the Marxist view and address it with generosity.

To bring people firmly to a state of believing in an enlightened capitalist economy they must see the fruits of others' labour and see the path to access that abundance. The most effective way for people to progress, assuming they have skills to apply to occupation, is to allow them a means to accumulate a portion of the fruits of their contribution to capital. A generous credit policy to purchase a home is an excellent example of a policy that empowers the individual. A young couple caught in a circumstance where they are both working to pay rent and to feed their family is greatly supported by a 100% loan on a home; as it releases them from the rental trap and puts them on the path of capitalizing on their efforts. A free education, as demonstrated later, provides the state with greater revenues and builds human capital reserves and empowers people. Generosity in human development and empowerment works. As demonstrated so aptly by the homestead acts, the government gave land and on that foundation, people responded by accumulating 25% of modern US capital reserves. The key to all successful economic policy is to seed prosperity with the individual and watch the collective result.

When prosperity is seeded with the individual, people are free. When prosperity is doled out from a central source people are controlled. The damaging precept of much government policy is one of control. In all societies that focus on control of people, society entrenches in a state of fixed stratification and the number of impoverished people grows. In Peru, for example, where the process to gain property rights is so convoluted that average people are unable to secure property, impoverishment grows. The backdrop of Peru's policy development has been one of an elite exercising control; that is the purpose of complex and convoluted legislation, to facilitate access for the well capitalized and keep those who are without capital in a ready state of exploitation. This circumstance happens at the expense of the elite and the general population as well, as generalized prosperity provides more opportunity for capital use and returns, a charming paradox. Contrast this with counties like Canada and the US, which have extended more opportunities to allow access to capital by appropriate rule of law and effected a more generalized state of prosperity. Seeding the individual with a generous means to accumulate and access capital is the ticket to prosperity. The chatter for equality will become muted when a generalized state of abundance transpires because equality is the language of the have-nots, and talk of equality fades when the consideration is focused on the degree of prosperity.

The essence of any government's action must be prudence. Generosity with prudence requires engaging in generosity in the context of return on investment. In the case of homesteading, assets that were idle came into action, and people who received the land paid taxes to governments commensurate with the new assets' value and infrastructure grew up around them. Government spending must be rationalized to government benefit in clear terms. Present funding through government rarely is submitted to the rigours of cost and benefit. The value of a Doctor to the tax roles is greater than the average, a doctor then represents an incremental benefit in tax revenue, and the funds provided to the creation of a doctor need to be rationalized to that incremental benefit. The assertion of generosity here is in the creation of a value-adding, wealth-generating investment as opposed to grants without condition.  




Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Government - Resource Dependence & Big Government?

Excerpt - If this is substantiated by events - maybe the rest is true. 

Canada is a resource-rich country, unimaginable wealth is ours to use to build the most advantaged society on earth. An occurrence of grave concern is the liquidation of assets to fund government operations. This is the equivalent of a farmer selling his/her land to buy fertilizer, soon the farmer will run out of land to fertilize. The federal and provincial governments are presiding over the liquidation of non-renewable resources as fast as the market will purchase them. This is fine as long as the revenues this generates go to the establishment of other capital assets, but it is presently going to fund the operations of the government. Sell a million barrels of oil, build a hospital – ok, sell a million barrels of oil and pick up the garbage – not ok. Inherent in this reality are massive structural deficits. Take government revenues from taxation ONLY and if operating expenses exceed that, you've got a structural deficit – presently most governments in Canada see royalties from the sale of raw resources as a legitimate source of funds for funding operations. The funds from royalties should be going toward long-term infrastructure and the development and enhancement of human capital.



In business, a company’s actions are constantly rationalized to the dynamics of the market in the pursuit of profit. The expansion of administrative costs in a company sees an almost immediate effect on profit and ownership seeks to rectify the situation. The time span of realization of error is crisp, the line of accountability clear this generates a circumstance where the organization responds quickly and effectively to frivolous and extraneous costs - the larger the organization the more muted this response becomes.

The nature of our political system generates a circumstance where the three contributing factors in favour of private enterprise, work against the government. In a company when an error in spending is made, the reporting structure sends information immediately to a concentrated entity - management and ownership, which responds. In government when an error in spending occurs, the time it takes for the people affected (the taxpayer) to realize it, events have extended beyond effective response. Worse, there is every incentive for the people who made the decision to conceal the event, as the individuals executing the error are financially unharmed by the event and can only be negatively affected by the public knowing. Further exacerbating the situation is that the reporting structure of the government is arcane which mutes the resolution of the event in the context of accounting. It is in this atmosphere that poor practices and waste continue in government, increasing the cost of services and exacting a greater and greater toll on the taxpayer. This phenomenon is attributable to the size of an organization and in equal measure to the nature of government having an inherent challenge in this regard.

All matters of human exchange involve a transaction. Contemplate your daily life and count the number of transactions you make through the course of your day. If for every $10 purchase a $10 bank charge was levied on the transaction, you would have half as much money to pursue life. This is the exact circumstance most of us living in Canada, where for every $1 we make the government takes $1. As government burgeons, there is an exponential increase in cost to the taxpayer. As government grows, so too does its involvement in all exchange. Transaction costs that emanate from government-mandated requirements to utilize other services, the $1000 conveyance fee to transfer a house, the airport fee, the list is frighteningly immense. These represent transaction costs that serve as a drag on the actions of the population – retarding citizens’ ability to provide for themselves and retarding the ability for people to utilize resources for enterprise, leaving the government with a smaller, heavier taxed tax base. This is the vicious downward spiral that causes the government to cave in on itself, like a snake eating its own tail.

As government grows and extends greater control over the human exchange, a policy requiring licensing comes into play. A driver’s licence is a document that indicates competency around the operation of a motor vehicle and is relatively benign as its access is determined by the ability to pay and competency alone. There are other cases, however, where government licensing has other motivations and unintended consequences. In the case of licensing of frequency for broadcasting, licensing was originally required for the management of frequency – to avoid one broadcaster interfering with another. As time progressed licensing progressed under other motivations. Naturally, an incumbent broadcaster wants less, rather than more competition and would lobby the government to preclude new entrants. Government itself openly admits in its literature that it uses licensing to restrict the supply of broadcasting services. When government takes actions which distort the natural ebb and flow of business, the consequences are almost always negative. In the case of broadcasting, lower numbers of people restricted the supply of advertising raising the cost of businesses to promote themselves – ultimately increasing the cost of goods and services as the media spectrum of the offering was limited. People have been forced to consume media content of inferior quality and interest. While it is appropriate for government to seek to offer strategic direction- meddling with distorting micro policy is most inhibiting. The government in this case should seek harmonious utilization of the airways and allow the market to work.                   

Tax policy in Canada is very complex so there is an extreme cost to the citizenry, firstly in negotiating the maze of tax policy to minimize payment and secondly in the actual paying of the tax. Complex taxation policy, in and of itself, increases transaction costs, and worse, is the waste of human capital taken in administering taxes. The complexity of the system takes some of our best minds away from productive contribution to society to attend to the analysis of complex policy to determine the most beneficial “interpretation” of tax legislation, while some more of our other best minds at Revenue Canada are taken away from productive pursuits to devise ways to respond to the interpretations of the first group. All this intellectual capacity is wasted; it is hard to imagine a more destructive way for the government to conduct itself. By simplifying the tax system, this waste is reduced, government requirement for enforcement is reduced and a retraction in government operating costs effects a positive situation by reducing tax requirements – a positive cycle is initiated. Opportunities abound to reduce the complexity of government and hence the cost of government. This is just the tax system; contemplate the legal system and any of the other multitude of government services. Government is too important to allow actions that serve to damage its own long-term standing.

Canada is a resource-rich country, unimaginable wealth is ours to use to build the most advantaged society on earth. An occurrence of grave concern is the liquidation of assets to fund government operations. This is the equivalent of a farmer selling his/her land to buy fertilizer, soon the farmer will run out of land to fertilize. The federal and provincial governments are presiding over the liquidation of non-renewable resources as fast as the market will purchase them. This is fine as long as the revenues this generates go to the establishment of other capital assets, but it is presently going to fund the operations of the government. Sell a million barrels of oil, build a hospital – ok, sell a million barrels of oil and pick up the garbage – not ok. Inherent in this reality are massive structural deficits. Take government revenues from taxation ONLY and if operating expenses exceed that, you've got a structural deficit – presently most governments in Canada see royalties from the sale of raw resources as a legitimate source of funds for funding operations. The funds from royalties should be going toward long-term infrastructure and the development and enhancement of human capital.

There needs to be an apolitical rationing mechanism that limits the growth of government so that government and economy are optimally matched. The challenge we face now is that governments are strongly incentivized to spend more, more as a percentage of GDP, in the quest for public approval. We elect a government on how best to administer public resources and choices related to this task need to reside with elected officials. There are objective means to assess the optimal size of government, within reasonable variance. The size of government is determined by the size of the budget at any given point in time. In the same way that the central bank has a narrow set of parameters to set interbank rates at arm’s length from the government, so too could a “Budgetary Review” official have a narrow set of parameters and function at arm’s length from the government to set the size of the budget.

As stated before, there is a point where the government is an organ supported by the people as an entity unto itself – rather than being the facilitator of human exchange, it becomes the focus of the national endeavour. It is then like the proverbial snake eating its tail – a circumstance that is clearly unsustainable. Canada has a productivity deficit; perhaps we need look no further than the overall transaction cost that is government to find the key contributing factor.  

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